UK: the next Iceland?

The top five U.K. banks have $10 trillion of [debt] assets and their [UK] GDP is only $2.13 trillion. The whole country could fall into the ocean. The top five U.S. banks [debt assets] represent only about 60 percent of GDP by comparison. Source

What is the capital of Iceland?
Answer: $25

"asking an economist to predict the future is like asking the Christmas turkey what's for dinner on Christmas: based on its entire lifetime of experience, the turkey expects to be fed on Christmas, not to be eaten. As far as the turkey is concerned, Christmas is a black swan-type event." Source: Taleb

Europe in trouble

Europe’s banks face a $2 trillion dollar shortage
European banks face a US dollar “funding gap” of almost $2 trillion as a result of aggressive expansion around the world and may have difficulties rolling over debts, according to a report by the Bank for International Settlements.

Europe's economic situation:

• Eastern Europe, along with Russia and the Ukraine, are toppling over the edge. Austria, whose banks have lent them €230bn (75% of its GDP) will go with them.
• Eastern Europe owes $1.7 trillion, $400 billion is due this year.
• Russia has a $500 billion tab it may not be able to cover.
• 60% of Polish mortgages are in Swiss francs, against which the zolty was just halved.
• Hungary, the Balkans, and the Baltics are in the same boat.
• Nearly all this debt is owed (and won't be paid) to Austrian Belgian, Greek, Italian and Swedish banks.
• In addition, Europeans hold 74% of the nearly $5 trillion of emerging markets' debt.
• The German economy will shrink nearly 10% this year, so Berlin will not be rescuing anybody either, not even partners Greece, Italy Ireland, Portugal or Spain.
• The coming economic stress is the stuf that makes for pitchforks in the street.

Source: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/4623525/Failure-to-save-East-Europe-will-lead-to-worldwide-meltdown.html (as summarized by CKMichaelson at http://ckm3.blogspot.com/)

Meanwhile Ukraine's gross domestic product has contracted by 20pc over the last year, apparently worse than early Bolshevism or the Stalin famine . . . if Ukraine defaults on its foreign debt – or lets its private companies default on their dollar and euro loans – it will lead to near instant contagion through much of Eastern Europe.

Source: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/4691850/Ukraine-must-be-rescued-from-tragi-comedy-for-Europes-sake.html

"This is your captain speaking, everyone remain calm, everything is under control. "

Cheers